Showing posts with label Trust. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trust. Show all posts

In Equality We Trust?

Posted by The Popular News Today on Tuesday, April 26, 2011

Today's Economist

Nancy Folbre is an economics professor at the University of Massachusetts Amherst.

Trust in other people greases the wheels of economic development. The management maven Steven Covey argues that high-trust companies are more successful than others. Higher incomes, in turn, seem to carry trust to higher levels.

But as a recent Economix post by Catherine Rampell reports, cross-country surveys show that income inequality is negatively related to trust. Largely as a result, the average level of trust is significantly lower in the United States than in more egalitarian countries, particularly those of Scandinavia.

And we seem to feel less trusting every day. A survey released at a recent World Economic Forum indicated that trust in both business and government had declined more steeply in the United States than in other countries as a result of the recent financial crisis.

Have sharp increases in inequality in the United States since the 1960s made us more cynical and suspicious?

Surveys don’t necessarily provide accurate indicators of how people behave, and they certainly don’t show cause and effect. But some economists (including my fellow Economix blogger Ed Glaeser) use experimental methods to research these issues.

Some find that inequality can exert a strong effect. A working paper by Shaun Heap, Jonathan Tan and Daniel Zizzo reported results of a “trust game” in which players can transfer resources to other players in the hope that additional resources will be transferred back to them. They found that inequality among players had a corrosive effect on trusting behaviors, particularly when players had specific knowledge of one another’s endowments.

Why might inequality reduce trust?

One possibility is that differences in income, including those based on race, ethnicity, gender or age, reduce the tendency of individuals to identify with one another. Greater variation simply leads to less familiarity. By this account, rich people would be as unlikely to trust the poor as vice versa.

But other causal linkages may come into play, including class conflict. In an analysis of individual-level data from the United States General Social Survey, the economists Alberto Alesina and Eliana La Ferrara found that belonging to a group that has historically felt discriminated against or labeled “economically unsuccessful” reduces trust.

As the economist Jack Hirshleifer explained in a classic article, “The Dark Side of the Force,” extreme differences in wealth and power among groups often lead to appropriation or exploitation rather than trade. Not surprisingly, humans have learned to be suspicious of those who have the capacity to do them harm. By this account, the powerless are less likely to trust the powerful than vice versa.

In an effort to explain country-level differences, the political scientists Bo Rothstein and Eric Uslaner argue that public policies play an important role. In particular, means-tested programs – those that make receipt of benefits contingent on an income or asset test – tend to foster mistrust among people. By contrast, universal programs tend to strengthen social solidarity.

Professors Rothstein and Uslaner emphasize that the causality works both ways. Less social solidarity means less support for more egalitarian policies. Countries can get caught in a trust trap in which inequality and mistrust feed on one another.

This observation seems consistent with the American experience, where partisan acrimony makes means-tested programs like Food Stamps and Head Start particularly vulnerable.

The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities estimated that two-thirds of the budget cuts proposed by Paul D. Ryan, Republican of Wisconsin and chairman of the House Budget Committee, were directed at low-income Americans. Major cuts in entitlement spending are called for down the road.

Meanwhile, prolonged unemployment is increasing the ranks of the “economically unsuccessful,” even as corporate profits soar.

This increased inequality will further increase cynicism and mistrust in America, making it even more difficult for us to collaborate effectively with one another. You don’t have to trust me. Just wait and see.

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Trust Me, We're Rich

Posted by The Popular News Today on Monday, April 18, 2011

Within the developed world, Danes are the most trusting people and Chileans the least, according to new data from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

The results are based on survey responses to the question, “Generally speaking would you say that most people can be trusted or that you need to be very careful in dealing with people?” Within the United States, just less than half of people expressed a high level of trust in others.

DESCRIPTIONSource: Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development

Across the countries included in the analysis, levels of trust have increased modestly on average over the last decade. From an economic standpoint, that is probably a good thing, as higher levels of trust can help foster better economic relations. You’re more likely to do business with someone if you don’t assume that person will cheat you.

But this relationship is likely a two-way street: Not only does trust affect economic conditions, but economic conditions may also affect trust.

O.E.C.D. analysts found that higher levels of trust were generally correlated with higher household income levels:

DESCRIPTIONSource: ESS (European Social Survey), ISSP (International Social Survey Programme), O.E.C.D. (2008) Growing Unequal? Income Distribution and Poverty in O.E.C.D. Countries (www.oecd.org/els/social/inequality).

Again, it’s not clear which is cause and which is effect. “Trust may promote gainful economic activity, or trust may be a luxury affordable only by richer countries,” the group’s report says.

Additionally, higher levels of income inequality correlated with lower levels of trust. The relatively egalitarian Nordic countries like Denmark, for example, have high levels of trust. On the other hand, more unequal societies like Mexico and Turkey have relatively low levels of trust.

DESCRIPTIONSource: ESS (European Social Survey), ISSP (International Social Survey Programme), O.E.C.D. (2008) Growing Unequal? Income Distribution and Poverty in O.E.C.D. Countries (www.oecd.org/els/social/inequality).

The causal relationship is debatable here as well.

“Income inequality may make it more difficult for people in different strata to share a sense of common purpose and to trust each other,” the report says. “Or low levels of trust may impede positive social bonds developing, which in turn contributes to high inequality.”

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